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Unintended Consequences of Welfare Cuts on Children and Adolescents
Christian Dustmann, Rasmus Landersø, and Lars Højsgaard Andersen
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics. Oct 2024, Vol. 16, No. 4: Pages 161-185

Unintended Consequences of Welfare Cuts on Children and Adolescents

Christian Dustmann1, Rasmus Landersø2 and Lars Højsgaard Andersen3

1University College London, Centre for Research and Analysis of Migration (CReAM), and ROCKWOOL Foundation Berlin (RFBerlin) (email: )

2ROCKWOOL Foundation Research Unit (email: )

3ROCKWOOL Foundation Research Unit (email: )

Abstract

This paper studies the effects of a large welfare benefit reduction on the children in the affected families. The welfare cut targeted adult refugees who received residency in Denmark, and it reduced their disposable income by 30 percent on average over the first five years. We show that children exposed to the welfare cut during preschool and school-age obtained lower GPAs, experienced reduced well-being and overall education levels, and suffered lower employment and earnings as adults. Children in their teens at exposure faced large increases in conviction probabilities for violent and property crimes. (JEL I26, I31, I38, J13, J15, J31, K42)